Climatic Risk Atlas of European Butterflies
Settele J, Kudrna O, Harpke A, Kuehn I, van Swaay C, Verovnik R, Warren M, Wiemers M, Hanspach J, Hickler T, Kuehn E, van Halder I, Veling K, Vliegenthart A, Wynhoff I, Schweiger O (2008)
Settele J, Kudrna O, Harpke A, Kuehn I, van Swaay C, Verovnik R, Warren M, Wiemers M, Hanspach J, Hickler T, Kuehn E, van Halder I, Veling K, Vliegenthart A, Wynhoff I, Schweiger O (2008) Climatic Risk Atlas of European Butterflies, Biorisk 1 (Special Issue) ISSN 1313-2652 (online), ISSN 1313-2644 (print), ISBN 978-954-642-454-9 (paperback), ISBN 978-954-642-455-6 (hardback), 165x240, full color edition, recent and modeled (2050, 2080) distribution maps, photo and data on biology and ecology of each species, general chapter on methods of mapping and modeling, references, index, in English. Price EUR 89.00

Table of contents

Acknowledgements * Foreword by Butterfly Conservation Europe * Context and objectives of a climatic risk atlas of European butterflies * A. CLIMATE CHANGE, BIODIVERSITY, BUTTERFLIES, AND RISK ASSESSMENT * A.1 Introduction: Butterflies as indicators * A.2 Scenarios and biodiversity * A.3 Climate change and Biodiversity Risk Assessment for butterflies * B. METHODOLOGY * B.1 The MEB project data as basis for the atlas * B.2 Scenarios used to assess climate change risks for European Butterflies * B.3 Climate niche modelling * Climatic factors of butterfly distribution * Modelling procedure * Assumptions for species dispersal * Visualisation of the multi*dimensional climatic niche * B.4 Climate change risk assessment for butterflies * Definitions of climate change risk categories for European butterflies * Integrated overall risk categories for European species – integrating all scenarios and time steps * C. CLIMATE RISKS OF EUROPEAN BUTTERFLY SPECIES * C.1 Species inventory and taxonomy of European butterflies * C.2 Climatic fate of individual species * Hesperiidae * Papilionidae * Pieridae * Lycaenidae * Riodinidae * Libytheidae * Nymphalidae * Danaidae * C.3 Non*modelled European butterfly species * C.4 Summary results * D. DISCUSSION OF METHODOLOGICAL LIMITATIONS * D.1 Limitations of species distribution models and future projections * D.2 Interaction of taxonomic status and modelling results * E. OUTLOOK: CLIMATE CHANGE AND BUTTERFLY CONSERVATION * E.1 Direct and indirect climate change impacts on butterflies and biodiversity * Habitats and trophic interactions * Climate envelopes for European butterflies as a starting point for future research and conservation * Climate change and evolution * Biodiversity Risk Assessment * E.2 Butterflies as indicators of environmental change * Butterfly indicator developments * Butterflies as climate change indicators * E.3 Climate change and butterfl y conservation * F. APPENDICES, REFERENCES AND INDEX * Appendix 1: Table on parameters for model suitability assessment * Appendix 2: Table on scenario results: Changes in climatic niches * Appendix 3: Risk category statistics * References * Species index